Week 17 Player Props: Passing and Rushing Breakdowns for Every NFL Game

Week 17 Player Props

We had a great week off the back of this analysis, and it’s time to finish the regular season strong with Week 17 player props.

This is more than just a resource for player props, I found it to be very helpful when looking at overs/unders and game picks. For example, there were a few games that had no advantages for the offenses, so I put them together for a 4-game teaser on the unders and it hit. I’ll be looking to replicate that strategy this week.

Before you take a gander at every passing and rushing matchup for every single NFL game this weekend, let us remember it is indeed Week 17.

The last regular season games can lead to a funky week, where teams out of the running trot out younger players for evaluation or hold star players back in order to save them for next season.

I put together a piece this week for these very games. Take a look: Week 17 Games that Matter.

I’ve told myself that there are a few games we have to avoid due to uncertainty, and what do I get but the largest disparity I’ve seen since starting this up. Of course. Will be a battle between my sane self and the part of me that wants to target disparities.

Let’s get to it. Take a look at the data and form your own opinions. Maybe they’re the same as mine, that would be great! My favorite props will come on Sunday morning. Make sure you’re following me on Twitter, @griffybets, for the drop of that.

Give me a shout on Twitter, which props seem the safest to you?

Week 17 Player Props: Matchup Rankings for Every Game

Each game for Week 17 is here. All the information you need for player props. Start your engines.

Vikings at Lions

Minnesota Passing Offense

Receiving grade (1) vs. Lions Pass Coverage grade (32)

Passing DVOA (11) vs. Lions Pass Defense DVOA (32)

Net difference: +52

Minnesota Rushing Offense

Running grade (2) vs. Lions Rush Defense grade (29)

Rushing DVOA (6) vs. Lions Rush Defense DVOA (26)

Net difference: +47

Detroit Passing Offense

Receiving grade (16) vs. Vikings Pass coverage grade (18)

Passing DVOA (19) vs. Vikings Pass Defense DVOA (13)

Net difference: -4

Detroit Rushing Offense

Running grade (31) vs. Vikings Rush defense grade (26)

Rushing DVOA (23) vs. Vikings Rush Defense DVOA (27)

Net difference: +1

Cowboys at Giants

Dallas Passing Offense

Receiving grade (18) vs. Giants Pass Coverage grade (23)

Passing DVOA (23) vs. Giants Pass Defense DVOA (24)

Net difference: +6

Dallas Rushing Offense

Running grade (20) vs. Giants Rush Defense grade (5)

Rushing DVOA (20) vs. Giants Rush Defense DVOA (16)

Net difference: -19

New York Passing Offense

Receiving grade (27) vs. Cowboys Pass coverage grade (26)

Passing DVOA (29) vs. Cowboys Pass Defense DVOA (20)

Net difference: -10

New York Rushing Offense

Running grade (26) vs. Cowboys Rush defense grade (26)

Rushing DVOA (8) vs. Cowboys Rush Defense DVOA (24)

Net difference: +16

Steelers at Browns

Pittsburgh Passing Offense

Receiving grade (29) vs. Browns Pass Coverage grade (22)

Passing DVOA (21) vs. Browns Pass Defense DVOA (25)

Net difference: -3

Pittsburgh Rushing Offense

Running grade (29) vs. Browns Rush Defense grade (15)

Rushing DVOA (30) vs. Browns Rush Defense DVOA (18)

Net difference: -26

Cleveland Passing Offense

Receiving grade (11) vs. Steelers Pass coverage grade (1)

Passing DVOA (12) vs. Steelers Pass Defense DVOA (1)

Net difference: -21

Cleveland Rushing Offense

Running grade (9) vs. Steelers Rush defense grade (4)

Rushing DVOA (9) vs. Steelers Rush Defense DVOA (5)

Net difference: -9

Dolphins at Bills

Miami Passing Offense

Receiving grade (13) vs. Bills Pass Coverage grade (14)

Passing DVOA (13) vs. Bills Pass Defense DVOA (15)

Net difference: +3

Miami Rushing Offense

Running grade (18) vs. Bills Rush Defense grade (32)

Rushing DVOA (22) vs. Bills Rush Defense DVOA (17)

Net difference: +9

Buffalo Passing Offense

Receiving grade (3) vs. Dolphins Pass coverage grade (20)

Passing DVOA (3) vs. Dolphins Pass Defense DVOA (6)

Net difference: +20

Buffalo Rushing Offense

Running grade (15) vs. Dolphins Rush defense grade (12)

Rushing DVOA (21) vs. Dolphins Rush Defense DVOA (23)

Net difference: -1

Jets at Patriots

New York Passing Offense

Receiving grade (32) vs. Patriots Pass Coverage grade (16)

Passing DVOA (28) vs. Patriots Pass Defense DVOA (19)

Net difference: -25

New York Rushing Offense

Running grade (25) vs. Patriots Rush Defense grade (23)

Rushing DVOA (27) vs. Patriots Rush Defense DVOA (32)

Net difference: +3

New England Passing Offense

Receiving grade (25) vs. Jets Pass coverage grade (29)

Passing DVOA (31) vs. Jets Pass Defense DVOA (28)

Net difference: +1

New England Rushing Offense

Running grade (6) vs. Jets Rush defense grade (3)

Rushing DVOA (7) vs. Jets Rush Defense DVOA (9)

Net difference: -1

Falcons at Buccaneers

PFF Ranks Bucs' Defense Among NFL's Best | Pewter Report

Atlanta Passing Offense

Receiving grade (10) vs. Bucs Pass Coverage grade (8)

Passing DVOA (17) vs. Bucs Pass Defense DVOA (5)

Net difference: -14

Atlanta Rushing Offense

Running grade (32) vs. Bucs Rush Defense grade (9)

Rushing DVOA (29) vs. Bucs Rush Defense DVOA (1)

Net difference: -51

Tampa Bay Passing Offense

Receiving grade (8) vs. Falcons Pass coverage grade (17)

Passing DVOA (5) vs. Falcons Pass Defense DVOA (17)

Net difference: +21

Tampa Bay Rushing Offense

Running grade (13) vs. Falcons Rush defense grade (17)

Rushing DVOA (13) vs. Falcons Rush Defense DVOA (6)

Net difference: -3

Ravens at Bengals

Baltimore Passing Offense

Receiving grade (25) vs. Bengals Pass Coverage grade (6)

Passing DVOA (20) vs. Bengals Pass Defense DVOA (27)

Net difference: -12

Baltimore Rushing Offense

Running grade (7) vs. Bengals Rush Defense grade (24)

Rushing DVOA (4) vs. Bengals Rush Defense DVOA (20)

Net difference: +33

Cincinnati Passing Offense

Receiving grade (22) vs. Ravens Pass coverage grade (12)

Passing DVOA (25) vs. Ravens Pass Defense DVOA (16)

Net difference: -19

Cincinnati Rushing Offense

Running grade (30) vs. Ravens Rush defense grade (16)

Rushing DVOA (28) vs. Ravens Rush Defense DVOA (8)

Net difference: -34

Titans at Texans

Titans-Raiders preview: Derrick Henry poses huge problem

Tennessee Passing Offense

Receiving grade (2) vs. Texans Pass Coverage grade (27)

Passing DVOA (4) vs. Texans Pass Defense DVOA (29)

Net difference: +50

Tennessee Rushing Offense

Running grade (1) vs. Texans Rush Defense grade (30)

Rushing DVOA (3) vs. Texans Rush Defense DVOA (30)

Net difference: +56

Houston Passing Offense

Receiving grade (7) vs. Titans Pass coverage grade (7)

Passing DVOA (7) vs. Titans Pass Defense DVOA (30)

Net difference: -23

Houston Rushing Offense

Running grade (27) vs. Titans Rush defense grade (18)

Rushing DVOA (32) vs. Titans Rush Defense DVOA (15)

Net difference: -26

Packers at Bears

Green Bay Passing Offense

Receiving grade (14) vs. Bears Pass Coverage grade (11)

Passing DVOA (2) vs. Bears Pass Defense DVOA (9)

Net difference: +4

Green Bay Rushing Offense

Running grade (3) vs. Bears Rush Defense grade (8)

Rushing DVOA (5) vs. Bears Rush Defense DVOA (4)

Net difference: +4

Chicago Passing Offense

Receiving grade (20) vs. Packers Pass coverage grade (9)

Passing DVOA (24) vs. Packers Pass Defense DVOA (14)

Net difference: -21

Chicago Rushing Offense

Running grade (11) vs. Packers Rush defense grade (19)

Rushing DVOA (24) vs. Packers Rush Defense DVOA (19)

Net difference: +3

Seahawks at 49ers

Seattle Passing Offense

Receiving grade (6) vs. 49ers Pass Coverage grade (4)

Passing DVOA (6) vs. 49ers Pass Defense DVOA (8)

Net difference: N/A

Seattle Rushing Offense

Running grade (14) vs. 49ers Rush Defense grade (11)

Rushing DVOA (12) vs. 49ers Rush Defense DVOA (7)

Net difference: -8

San Francisco Passing Offense

Receiving grade (5) vs. Seahawks Pass coverage grade (15)

Passing DVOA (22) vs. Seahawks Pass Defense DVOA (21)

Net difference: +9

San Francisco Rushing Offense

Running grade (12) vs. Seahawks Rush defense grade (1)

Rushing DVOA (14) vs. Seahawks Rush Defense DVOA (10)

Net difference: -15

Chargers at Chiefs

Los Angeles Passing Offense

Receiving grade (17) vs. Chiefs Pass Coverage grade (13)

Passing DVOA (8) vs. Chiefs Pass Defense DVOA (12)

Net difference: N/A

Los Angeles Rushing Offense

Running grade (28) vs. Chiefs Rush Defense grade (22)

Rushing DVOA (31) vs. Chiefs Rush Defense DVOA (29)

Net difference: -8

Kansas City Passing Offense

Receiving grade (4) vs. Chargers Pass coverage grade (19)

Passing DVOA (1) vs. Chargers Pass Defense DVOA (18)

Net difference: +32

Kansas City Rushing Offense

Running grade (10) vs. Chargers Rush defense grade (14)

Rushing DVOA (10) vs. Chargers Rush Defense DVOA (28)

Net difference: +22

Raiders at Broncos

Las Vegas Passing Offense

Receiving grade (9) vs. Broncos Pass Coverage grade (10)

Passing DVOA (9) vs. Broncos Pass Defense DVOA (11)

Net difference: +3

Las Vegas Rushing Offense

Running grade (19) vs. Broncos Rush Defense grade (6)

Rushing DVOA (25) vs. Broncos Rush Defense DVOA (25)

Net difference: -13

Denver Passing Offense

Receiving grade (28) vs. Raiders Pass coverage grade (30)

Passing DVOA (30) vs. Raiders Pass Defense DVOA (22)

Net difference: -4

Denver Rushing Offense

Running grade (8) vs. Raiders Rush defense grade (25)

Rushing DVOA (26) vs. Raiders Rush Defense DVOA (31)

Net difference: +22

Cardinals at Rams

Arizona Passing Offense

Receiving grade (20) vs. Rams Pass coverage grade (3)

Passing DVOA (16) vs. Rams Pass Defense DVOA (3)

Net difference: -30

Arizona Rushing Offense

Running grade (24) vs. Rams Rush defense grade (7)

Rushing DVOA (17) vs. Rams Rush Defense DVOA (3)

Net difference: -31

Los Angeles Passing Offense

Receiving grade (19) vs. Cardinals Pass Coverage grade (24)

Passing DVOA (18) vs. Cardinals Pass Defense DVOA (10)

Net difference: -3

Los Angeles Rushing Offense

Running grade (16) vs. Cardinals Rush Defense grade (31

Rushing DVOA (2) vs. Cardinals Rush Defense DVOA (14)

Net difference: +27

Jaguars at Colts

Colts WR Michael PIttman Jr. will miss some time after undergoing surgery  for a lower leg injury

Jacksonville Passing Offense

Receiving grade (23) vs. Colts Pass Coverage grade (5)

Passing DVOA (26) vs. Colts Pass Defense DVOA (7)

Net difference: -37

Jacksonville Rushing Offense

Running grade (21) vs. Colts Rush Defense grade (12)

Rushing DVOA (19) vs. Colts Rush Defense DVOA (11)

Net difference: -17

Indianapolis Passing Offense

Receiving grade (14) vs. Jaguars Pass coverage grade (31)

Passing DVOA (15) vs. Jaguars Pass Defense DVOA (31)

Net difference: +33

Indianapolis Rushing Offense

Running grade (5) vs. Jaguars Rush defense grade (21)

Rushing DVOA (15) vs. Jaguars Rush Defense DVOA (22)

Net difference: +23

Saints at Panthers

New Orleans Passing Offense

Receiving grade (12) vs. Panthers Pass Coverage grade (25)

Passing DVOA (14) vs. Panthers Pass Defense DVOA (23)

Net difference: +22

New Orleans Rushing Offense

Running grade (4) vs. Panthers Rush Defense grade (28)

Rushing DVOA (1) vs. Panthers Rush Defense DVOA (21)

Net difference: +44

Carolina Passing Offense

Receiving grade (23) vs. Saints Pass coverage grade (21)

Passing DVOA (10) vs. Saints Pass Defense DVOA (4)

Net difference: -8

Carolina Rushing Offense

Running grade (17) vs. Saints Rush defense grade (2)

Rushing DVOA (18) vs. Saints Rush Defense DVOA (2)

Net difference: -31

Washington at Eagles

Washington Passing Offense

Receiving grade (30) vs. Eagles Pass Coverage grade (28)

Passing DVOA (32) vs. Eagles Pass Defense DVOA (26)

Net difference: -8

Washington Rushing Offense

Running grade (23) vs. Eagles Rush Defense grade (20)

Rushing DVOA (11) vs. Eagles Rush Defense DVOA (12)

Net difference: -2

Philadelphia Passing Offense

Receiving grade (31) vs. Washington Pass coverage grade (1)

Passing DVOA (27) vs. Washington Pass Defense DVOA (2)

Net difference: -55

Philadelphia Rushing Offense

Running grade (22) vs. Washington Rush defense grade (10)

Rushing DVOA (16) vs. Washington Rush Defense DVOA (13)

Net difference: -15

That will do it! We’re going to keep this format going for the playoffs. Don’t miss out, follow me on Twitter, @griffybets. Until next time.

Last week’s work:

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